Surface live, market-implied probabilities for forward-looking events (Fed
decisions, recession, elections, geopolitics, crypto) to the news analyst via a
new get_prediction_markets tool and a prediction_markets vendor category. Backed
by Polymarket's public Gamma API (no key). Results are filtered to open,
forward-looking markets (closed and past-dated events excluded), ranked by
traded volume, and rendered with implied probability, volume, resolution date,
and the recent move. External errors degrade to a clear unavailable message
rather than interrupting the analyst.
Surface Federal Reserve Economic Data (rates, inflation, labor, growth) to the
news analyst via a new get_macro_indicators tool and a macro_data vendor
category. Friendly aliases (cpi, unemployment, fed_funds_rate, 10y_treasury,
yield_curve, ...) map to FRED series IDs; raw series IDs are accepted too. The
report gives the latest value, change over the window, and a recent observation
table. Windowing is lookahead-safe (observation_end = curr_date), missing values
are skipped, and a missing FRED_API_KEY surfaces as a clear not-configured
condition through the vendor router rather than a crash.
resolve_instrument_identity and the reflection return lookup queried Yahoo with
the raw ticker, so broker/forex/commodity symbols (XAUUSD, BTCUSD, EURUSD)
failed identity or could mismatch the priced instrument even though the price
path already normalized them. Route both through normalize_symbol (#983, #984).
The market analyst could confabulate exact figures — citing a Bollinger
band or a "historically validated bounce" the data doesn't support (#830).
Add a deterministic get_verified_market_snapshot tool (latest OHLCV row,
common indicators, recent closes) the analyst must consult and treat as
the source of truth for any exact price/indicator claim, and instruct it
not to assert historical validation or support bounces without tool-backed
dates and prices.
#830
Agents had no ground-truth ticker→company mapping, so the market analyst
could pattern-match a price chart to the wrong company (e.g. TOTDY read as
"TotalEnergies"), and every downstream agent inherited the bad framing.
Resolve identity once at run start via a cached, fail-open yfinance lookup
and inject company/sector/exchange into the shared instrument context that
all twelve agents consume, with an explicit do-not-substitute instruction.
Resolution runs on both the propagate() and CLI entry points.
Also replaces the bare "Continue" message-clear placeholder, which some
OpenAI-compatible providers interpreted as the user task, with a
context-anchored placeholder carrying the resolved identity and date.
#814#888
output_language config now propagates to every user-facing agent.
Previously only the four analysts and portfolio manager respected
the setting, producing partial-localization reports with English
debate text interleaved with non-English analyst sections. Verified
live: 7 agents produce Chinese output when config is set to Chinese.
#575
Yijia-Xiao