feat(data): add Polymarket prediction markets as a keyless vendor
Surface live, market-implied probabilities for forward-looking events (Fed decisions, recession, elections, geopolitics, crypto) to the news analyst via a new get_prediction_markets tool and a prediction_markets vendor category. Backed by Polymarket's public Gamma API (no key). Results are filtered to open, forward-looking markets (closed and past-dated events excluded), ranked by traded volume, and rendered with implied probability, volume, resolution date, and the recent move. External errors degrade to a clear unavailable message rather than interrupting the analyst.
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@@ -25,6 +25,7 @@ from .alpha_vantage import (
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)
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from .alpha_vantage_common import AlphaVantageRateLimitError
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from .fred import get_macro_data as get_fred_macro_data
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from .polymarket import get_prediction_markets as get_polymarket_prediction_markets
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from .symbol_utils import NoMarketDataError
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# Configuration and routing logic
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@@ -68,12 +69,19 @@ TOOLS_CATEGORIES = {
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"tools": [
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"get_macro_indicators",
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]
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},
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"prediction_markets": {
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"description": "Market-implied probabilities for forward-looking events",
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"tools": [
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"get_prediction_markets",
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]
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}
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}
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VENDOR_LIST = [
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"yfinance",
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"fred",
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"polymarket",
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"alpha_vantage",
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]
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@@ -123,6 +131,10 @@ VENDOR_METHODS = {
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"get_macro_indicators": {
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"fred": get_fred_macro_data,
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},
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# prediction_markets
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"get_prediction_markets": {
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"polymarket": get_polymarket_prediction_markets,
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},
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}
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def get_category_for_method(method: str) -> str:
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